Factors · issue of Oct 15, 2026 · Monthly

The Factor Switch
Trend-following the factor zoo.

Same return as holding every factor with a third of the drawdown — and it kept working after 2016, when the factor zoo stopped paying.

What it says now · from the close of Sep 30, 2026
13 of 22 factors on

13 of 22 factors are on for October 2026

Data freshNext decision · When October 2026 returns are published

Kenneth French's library updates monthly, a month or two behind.

Exact positions, live levels and the robustness checks for this issue are on the Analyst plan. The stance above and the full record are open to everyone.

Track record

H $1.21 $1.20
Strategy $1.20 Hold all 22 factors $1.15 Growth of $1, Sep 30, 2021 to Sep 30, 2026
Last 5 yearsSince 1964Hold all 22 factors, since 1964
Annual return3.7%3.2%3.3%
Sharpe ratio1.131.150.95
Worst drawdown-2.4%-4.5%-13.0%

A backtest with the issue's own costs, extended to the last close. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Stance history

Oct 31, 2024Sep 30, 2026

In the market 24 of the last 24 months, returning +5.7% across them. No change of stance in the window.

Research Lab

Written down before the results existed: Every month after the issue returns between -0.9% and +1.6%: the range of 90% of the 747 such stretches in the backtest up to Sep 30, 2026.

No window has completed since the issue went out yet.

Check 1 is running: 0 of 1 months in, judged on Nov 30, 2026.

Checked by the program when each window completes and sealed into the record. Misses stay public; the record counts both ways.

The issue's numbers, reproduced

Every figure the issue printed, recomputed on the same window from the platform's own price history.

FigureIn the issueRecomputed
Sharpe ratio, 1964–2026, after costs1.151.15matches
Worst drawdown-4.5%-4.5%matches
Sharpe ratio, 2016–20260.860.86matches

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